The pitching matchup advantage in this game heavily favors Atlanta.  Kris Medlen (6-2 3.31era) goes tonight for Atlanta. Medlen last 3 starts he is (2-0 2.75era) and Atlanta has won all 3 games. Meanwhile, Sanchez takes the mound for the Marlins coming into tonights match-up with the Braves has an era of 6.19 over his last 3 starts and the Marlins were on the losing end of all 3. Lastly, factor in that Atlanta is hitting .294  againest right handed pitching and the Marlins are hitting a dismal .208 againest right handed opposition over the last 10 games. Take the Atlanta Braves to the bank for the easy winner tonight.

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Top Play:

Both the Los Angeles Angels and the St. Louis Cardinals have been swinging good lumber in recent weeks, and the fact that both teams got held up last game does not eliminate the overriding trend in this situation. Bartolo Colon vs. Kip Wells is the kind of pitching matchup that hitters on each team dream about. These two pitchers allowed combined 24 runs in their last two starts. On the road, Colon has put up ugly numbers – his ERA is 6.85 this season. The Over is a solid 6-2 in his eight starts. Wells has been mostly the “fade” guy this season, 2-10 with a 6.40 ERA in 12 starts. If the Angels don’t get to Wells, they may as well “pack it in”. Take all these facts, and combine them with two teams each hitting very well in their recent games. They are bound to score some big time run totals.

Play Over 9.5 (Los Angeles Angels / St. Louis Cardinals)

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We’re as excited as you are for Game 3 of the Jazz / Warriors series, and we recommend a play on the Under on this game. The first two games have gone Over and the total line has been up to 217, but the Warriors know if they want to keep these games close they need to do a better job on defense and rebounding, and similarly, the Jazz will be in full lockdown mode on Baron Davis, as they realize he is the key to the Warriors’ hopes. In the first round playoffs against Dallas, the Warriors have played great defense at home, holding the Mavs to just 92 points per contest on 40% shooting. The Under has gone 3-1 in the regular season matchups between these teams. We all know what a great defensive team the Jazz are. They controlled the boards in the first two games, winning that battle 114-68. The Jazz have controlled the boards of late even against Houston winning that battle eventually helped Boozer and team finish off the Rockets in the first round. Both teams will play well on the D, so expect a low scoring game here.

Play Under 217 (Golden State Warriors / Utah Jazz).

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This will be it for the Raptors when they visit New Jersey Friday night. In game 5, the Raptors led by as many as 17 points in the second half but they almost blew it. There is no way they can step up and tie the series, or even cover the spread. Now that the Raptors’ two point guards are hurt, they will all have to rely on Chris Bosh, but it’s so tough for Bosh to carry this team down the stretch. The Nets defense has done a great job of hassling Toronto’s players and Bosh just hasn’t been able to get it going. He has scored only a combined 35 points in the last three games.

New Jersey’s veteran leadership has come to the forefront in this series against the inexperienced Raptors. Jason Kidd, Vince Carter, and Richard Jefferson have all played their roles perfectly and have frustrated Toronto in the process. Nets are just to dominate agianst the Raptors at home. We wouldn’t be shocked if the Nets win by 20.

Play New Jersey Nets (-7)

Top Play:

Heading now to the diamond, we’ll take the Chicago Cubs against the St. Louis Cardinals on Friday. Anthony Reyes, the Cardinals’ starter, is off to a poor start, with a 5.63 ERA in 3 outings. Not the kind of player we want to back. He is 0-3 lifetime with a 5.14 ERA in two starts and a relief appearance against the Cubs. Jason Marquis, on the other hand, looked good in his last two starts, allowing just a run in 13 innings. We love that he is 2-0 with a admirable 1.20 ERA against St. Louis for his career. This is the same pitching match-up as last Saturday and the Marquis’ Cubs beat the Cardinals outright. Although this time is the home game for St. Louis, we expect their offense will struggle against formar Cardinal, Marquis, who should feel like pitching in his home field back in St. Louis.

Play Chicago Cubs, Moneyline.

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This week in baseball action, we’re going to recommend an “under” play on the Yankees/Red Sox game. Curt Schilling is a major talent. After a tough opening day start, he has allowed just a run, eight hits, two walks in his last two outings. That’s a statistic you should be paying attention to. Schilling has been throwing well and getting people out by himself, as opposed to relying on his defense to make plays. The Yankees offence hit well agaist Cleveland but their bats can be easily cold against the league’s No.1 pitchers.

Andy Pettitte, on the other hand, we shouldn’t have to tell you about. He was on his games in his last two starts, and he’s reminded us of his stellar 2003 season. He has a 13-5 lifetime record and a 3.05 ERA against the Red Sox. The struggling Sox hitters will have another trouble against the leftie, and Pettitte should have a solid outing. We should be looking at a low scoring affair.

Play Under 9.5 (NY Yankees / Boston Red Sox)

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In NBA action, the Phoenix Suns and the Los Angeles Lakers are two of the highest-scoring teams in the league, and when they face off tonight, we will see another high-scoring game. The Suns have been outstanding at their home court lately: 125 against Denver, 126 against Dallas, and 109 against Seattle. Steve Nash will be looking to get the team’s offense in high gear for the playoffs. The Lakers defense is getting pathetic, allowing an average of 114.25 points per game in their last four. After losing to the Clippers last night, the tired Lakers have no way to keep up with the Suns’ run-and-gun style of offense. We like the Suns’ chances of putting up a big number against a Lakers team that cannot control the tempo against ANYONE. However, there is still a chance that Kobe Bryant will have another 50-point game against the weak Suns defense. Both teams shoot well from the free throw line, neither team defends well in the paint, and when you factor everything in, the case for the Over speaks loud and clear.

Play Los Angeles Lakers/ Phoenix Suns Over 219.5

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We’re going to take you out to the ball game for the first time this season and recommend a play on Philadelphia against Florida. The Marlins hit really well against Washington which is one of the worst organizations in baseball. Young Marlins hitters will be in serious trouble against veteran lefty Jamie Moyer, who had a stunning 3-0 record against Florida in 2006. Moyer appeared at Dolphins Stadium, finishing with a 2-0 mark with a strong 1.38 ERA and 0.85 WHIP.

On the other hand, Marlins’ righty Sergio Mitre is still behind after struggling to overcome his shoulder problems despite his successful return in spring training. Since he is not capable of pitching a high-number of innings, the Marlins bullpen will have a tough time. We’re cautious of the Marlins’ pitching staff – in the first week of the season, they had a whopping FIVE pitching injuries! After being swept by Atlanta in the opening series, we expect the hungry Phillies to bounce back.

Play Philadelphia Phillies (Money Line)

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Check out USC. These guys are 25-11 SU, and 22-10 ATS. Why are they getting no respect against North Carolina here? The Pac-10 is much better than the ACC, and we’re not prepared to let this many points on a good team pass us by. UNC might win the game, but they’re not going to embarrass USC. North Carolina is 4-7 ATS in its last 11 and just 4-6 ATS in its last 10 away from its home court. Also, USC is 7-0 ATS as an underdog of more than 3.5 points this season and 12-2-1 ATS against teams with a winning percentage over .750.

UNC struggled so much against Michigan State last Saturday and it is a bad sign for the Heels because that was a game they should have dominated. USC, coming off a blowout win against Texas, can score a variety of ways and has enough athletes to play any style that UNC would like.

This one just comes down to value, folks. UNC = overvalued, USC = undervalued. This will be a very close game and we’d be shocked if USC didn’t pick up a cover here.

Play USC Trojans (+8)