Over the next several months I will be discussing many of the key aspects that keep the majority of sports bettors from winning.  However, let me advise you before reading any further.  If you or your handicapper can’t pick above the 52.5 percent threshold that it takes to win then none of these articles will help you.  The only thing it will accomplish in that situation is to help you lose slightly less money.

The first aspect that I would like to discuss is seasonal betting.  Each year, many of my clients come on board for the NFL and NCAAF football season.  We go through the 5 month football season and many of my clients are calling me up informing me how pleased they are with the service.  “If only football season was longer!!”  I hear each year.

However, the truth that I try to inform them of is that although we do well in the NFL and NCAAF any good handicapper could not possibly make nearly the amount of money in football as one could in baseball or basketball.  Yes, I understand football is generally much more exciting to watch and bet.  However, as a serious sports bettor that is irrelevent.  The NFL and NCAAF seasons are around 5 months long including the playoffs.  Each team only plays 1 game per week and each team also has a bye week without a game.  In comparison, each team in MLB plays 152 games per year.  They also have a 7 month season and tend to play on average 5 days per week.

If I am a profitable handicapper (which I am) then my advantage is obviously in baseball for several reasons.  First off, since there are so many more games in MLB there will be more mistakes in the betting lines throughout the course of the year.  Also, betting lines in baseball tend to be less accurate because the majority of people don’t even bet baseball.  Did you know the only reason sportsbooks keep MLB lines is because they want you to play with them through football season???

Let’s do a quick analogy.  Let’s say you bet 3 games in NCAAF on Saturday and 3 more games in the NFL on Sunday.  That is a total of 6 games per week.  An average MLB week will have 3 plays per day which equals a total of 21 games per week.  Now, since the regular season football schedule is 17 weeks long we do the math:

17 (number of weeks in football season) x 6 (average number of plays per week) =  102 total games

now let’s look at the average number of MLB games per season

24 (number of weeks in MLB season) x 21 (average number of plays per week) =  504 total games

As demonstrated by the math above, we have almost 5 times the number of plays each year in MLB than in the NFL and NCAAF combined!!!  Any reasonably intelligent individual would then understand that if a handicapper can truly profit then his obvious advantage would be in the MLB season when he has 5 times the number of plays to exploit his advantage against the books.

Most handicappers only promote football season because they know uneducated bettors will begin depositing money into their offshore betting accounts in hopes of finding a winner.  What must be understood is that the majority of cappers do not care about winning to any extent, only that they take money from you and sell you picks they themselves would never bet.

If you really want to make serious money in sports betting get onboard for the 2nd half of the MLB season.  It’s not too late to have a great MLB season and build your bankroll or simply take that extra vacation to Hawaii this year by simply placing a few bets each morning with a trusted handicapper.

Aloha!!!

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Colt James – Top 5% of MLB Cappers Worldwide
Get a 1 week free trial if you contact  me personally
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Top Play:

This will be it for the Raptors when they visit New Jersey Friday night. In game 5, the Raptors led by as many as 17 points in the second half but they almost blew it. There is no way they can step up and tie the series, or even cover the spread. Now that the Raptors’ two point guards are hurt, they will all have to rely on Chris Bosh, but it’s so tough for Bosh to carry this team down the stretch. The Nets defense has done a great job of hassling Toronto’s players and Bosh just hasn’t been able to get it going. He has scored only a combined 35 points in the last three games.

New Jersey’s veteran leadership has come to the forefront in this series against the inexperienced Raptors. Jason Kidd, Vince Carter, and Richard Jefferson have all played their roles perfectly and have frustrated Toronto in the process. Nets are just to dominate agianst the Raptors at home. We wouldn’t be shocked if the Nets win by 20.

Play New Jersey Nets (-7)

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Top Play:

In NBA action, the Phoenix Suns and the Los Angeles Lakers are two of the highest-scoring teams in the league, and when they face off tonight, we will see another high-scoring game. The Suns have been outstanding at their home court lately: 125 against Denver, 126 against Dallas, and 109 against Seattle. Steve Nash will be looking to get the team’s offense in high gear for the playoffs. The Lakers defense is getting pathetic, allowing an average of 114.25 points per game in their last four. After losing to the Clippers last night, the tired Lakers have no way to keep up with the Suns’ run-and-gun style of offense. We like the Suns’ chances of putting up a big number against a Lakers team that cannot control the tempo against ANYONE. However, there is still a chance that Kobe Bryant will have another 50-point game against the weak Suns defense. Both teams shoot well from the free throw line, neither team defends well in the paint, and when you factor everything in, the case for the Over speaks loud and clear.

Play Los Angeles Lakers/ Phoenix Suns Over 219.5

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Top Play:

We’re going to take you out to the ball game for the first time this season and recommend a play on Philadelphia against Florida. The Marlins hit really well against Washington which is one of the worst organizations in baseball. Young Marlins hitters will be in serious trouble against veteran lefty Jamie Moyer, who had a stunning 3-0 record against Florida in 2006. Moyer appeared at Dolphins Stadium, finishing with a 2-0 mark with a strong 1.38 ERA and 0.85 WHIP.

On the other hand, Marlins’ righty Sergio Mitre is still behind after struggling to overcome his shoulder problems despite his successful return in spring training. Since he is not capable of pitching a high-number of innings, the Marlins bullpen will have a tough time. We’re cautious of the Marlins’ pitching staff – in the first week of the season, they had a whopping FIVE pitching injuries! After being swept by Atlanta in the opening series, we expect the hungry Phillies to bounce back.

Play Philadelphia Phillies (Money Line)

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Top Play:

As you know, we tend to be cautious laying a heavy number, and it’s no question of the Phoenix Suns favored big against New Orleans Friday night. We don’t like playing side on this game but do like play under! The Suns have averaged only 101.8 points in regulation over their last five games, getting held below 48% shooting in four of them. Four of their last five games went under, and the last game against Charlotte went over just because they played overtime.

It will be hard to see the Sun’s high-scoring game against the Hornets, who hold opponents to 95.5 points per game and 44.7% shooting to rank among the Western Conference leaders in both categories. It has been low-scoring affairs in the meetings between those two teams, eight of the last nine matchups went under.

Play Under 209.5 (New Orleans/Phoenix)

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This week, we are offering a tasty two-pack of NBA plays, one dog we expect to bite hard, and one fave we expect to lay down a blowout. You can see our Top Play right here, but to get the full card, you’ve got to be a GoSportsBet member! Join our sponsor now.

Top Play:

We love situations where bookies put too much value on a home team. That’s what they’ve done this week with the San Antonio Spurs, listing them as 14 point favorites against the Memphis Grizzlies. Spurs are hot, to be sure, but we think that taking points with Memphis is never a bad thing.

Although the Grizzlies have been struggling on the road (3-19 SU), they are 6-1 ATS as 10 or more underdogs this season. We expect them to keep this one close right until the very end. Pau Gasol and Mike Miller match up well offensively with San Antonio, and the team comes into this game on a high note after beating Utah in overtime on Wednesday.

San Antonio, meanwhile, doesn’t look like they are the dominant force in the Western Conference any more. In their last game against Houston Wednesday, Tim Duncan had 37 points but the rest of the team shot just 36.7 percent from the field. Spurs fell to 1-5 ATS in their last six, and 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 contests at home. Also, Memphis is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 in this series. 14 is way too much for the Spurs to cover. Take the “dog” on this one for the best value.

Play Memphis Grizzlies, ATS.

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Top Play:

We’re liking the Toronto Raptors, who have won six of their last eight, against the Utah Jazz Friday night. These Raptors are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games, and have played extremely well at home this season, where they’re 12-5 ATS. Toronto’s defense has impressed a lot of people these days, holding their opponents just 86.2 points per game in the last five contests.

Toronto is catching Utah at the right time. The Jazz had lost five of six before snapping a four-game skid with a 100-99 win over Detroit on Wednesday. Their defense has struggled giving 112.4 points per game in their last five games.

Chris Bosh has been playing great since he came back from injury at the beginning of this year, and we predict he’ll have a big night against the Jazz.

- Play Toronto Raptors, ATS.

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Top Play:

The Miami Heat head into Golden State on Friday night to take on the Warriors. The Heat lost 5 in a row (both SU and ATS) since Dwyane Wade injured his wrist early in the game in Chicago on Dec. 27. Wade returned on Sunday and they have won two. Wade is now averaging 31.8 points in his last eight games that he has played more than six minutes, and Miami has won seven of those contests. Moreover, longawaited Shaquille O’Neal may come back to play this game. Antoine Walker and James Posey will also be available.

Golden State, on the other hand, have lost three of their last four games (0-4 ATS), allowing 116.8 points in those contests. Baron Davis had only 13 points on 4-of-14 shooting the last game against the Magic.

We’re looking for the Heat to bounce back in a big way as the road dog. Miami has dominated the series of late, winning 15 of the last 19 matchups, including the last two at Oracle Arena. Golden State has been plagued by Jason Richardson’s injury, and this will be a factor here, as no one on the Warriors will be able to keep up with the healthy Heat.

- Play Miami Heat, ATS.

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Top Play:

As you know, we tend to be cautious laying a heavy number, but this situation appears solid for Suns fans, with Phoenix favored big against Miami. Shaq and Wade were both out when Phoenix beat Miami on Dec. 13 but this time around, the Heat have even bigger problems. Struggling Miami Heat are playing their 4th game without all-star guard Dwyane Wade who suffered a sprained wrist. Making matters worse, forwards Antoine Walker and James Posey were deactivated because their body fat levels are 1 percent over team orders.

On the other hand, Phoenix has been one of the strongest home teams this season, at 12-3. The Suns are on an four game win streak, and 13-1 against the Eastern Conference this season. We’re not convinced the Heat will make a game of this, particularly since they’ve been unable to hit the century mark in 4 consecutive games. Finally, the Heat have got to be demoralized heading into this one against the NBA’s highest-scoring team, whereas the Suns are back at their home court after winning all three on the road, and will come out pumped up, running and gunning.

- Play Phoenix Suns, ATS.